The Global Civil-Conflict Conditions Index
See where pressure is building — and why.
What the score measures: ConflictMeter measures how closely current conditions in a country align with the conditions that Professor David Betz argues make large-scale civil unrest and internal political conflict more likely. A higher score means stronger alignment with those conditions. It is not a percentage probability, a prediction that conflict will occur, or a forecast of when it might occur.
ConflictMeter is an independent operationalisation of Betz’s published theories; the index itself is not a score produced or endorsed by Professor Betz.
A civil unrest index for understanding country conditions
Political tensions rarely have a single cause. ConflictMeter brings structural pressure and activation measures into a consistent country view, helping you examine where conditions differ and which parts of the evidence deserve closer attention.
Start with the country rankings, open a country profile, or compare countries side by side. Two countries can reach similar scores through different combinations of pressures. The explanation behind the position is where the analysis begins.
See the number. Understand the country.
You have seen the gauge. Now explore what is driving it. ConflictMeter’s Country Intelligence Reports bring the structural drivers, historical comparisons, alternative interpretations and source evidence together in one readable, country-specific PDF.
Understand what changed, why a similar score can mean different things in different countries, and which evidence deserves attention next.
81 country reports · 11–13 pages each · £49 one-off · No subscription
Choose your country and download the complete report after successful payment.
ConflictMeter Watch
Explore the current highest readings, the largest ranking movements and the country evidence behind them.