The Global Civil-Conflict Conditions Index
See where pressure is building — and why.
What the score measures: ConflictMeter measures how closely current conditions in a country align with the conditions that Professor David Betz argues make large-scale civil unrest and internal political conflict more likely. A higher score means stronger alignment with those conditions. It is not a percentage probability, a prediction that conflict will occur, or a forecast of when it might occur.
ConflictMeter is an independent operationalisation of Betz’s published theories; the index itself is not a score produced or endorsed by Professor Betz.
ConflictMeter Watch
A rotating public module for current leaders, biggest movers and selected analytical cases.
Current top 10
Biggest movers
Direction refers to movement in ranking position, not “better” or “worse” conditions. Lithuania and El Salvador remain flagged for analytical review before editorial use.