Research archive

What does a country risk index measure? Compare sovereign, political, operational and conflict-risk indicators, and learn how to interpret country rankings correctly.

What is political instability, what causes it, which indicators matter, and how should political instability indices and rankings be interpreted?

What are social cohesion and social fragmentation, how are they measured, and what do they tell us about political stability and internal-conflict conditions?

What does civil unrest mean? A clear guide to the term, common indicators, how it differs from protest and rioting, and how analysts assess

How does political risk analysis work? A practical guide to country risk assessment, common indicators, rankings, model design and where ConflictMeter fits.

What do current indicators show about civil unrest in the UK? ConflictMeter examines UK Pressure, Activation, score movement and what the data can—and cannot—tell

Finland and Romania have virtually identical ConflictMeter headline scores—55.46 and 55.47—but radically different Pressure, Activation, economic and narrative profiles. The comparison shows why the

Lithuania rose 55 ranking places and 36.14 score points from the 2025 Vintage baseline. We test several plausible explanations—from inflation and defence mobilisation to

El Salvador fell 48 places from the 2025 Vintage baseline and 27.59 points on the ConflictMeter score. We examine whether the country’s extraordinary security